PolyTrace
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Trader profile

shelly

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$607Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate92.8%83 settled · past 90 days6 open · 33% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$393.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded193Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−26.8% / $95% interval −997.1% to +943.6%11 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−26.8%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 92.8% · Decided 83 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2
Concentration
45.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?
NoValue$846PnL+$3Avg98.7¢Current99.1¢853.99Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21?
NoValue$672PnL+$2Avg99.4¢Current99.7¢674.3Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
NoValue$346PnL−$2Avg97.6¢Current97¢357Shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
NoValue$3PnL+$0.06Avg95.7¢Current97.5¢3.45Shares
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$3PnL+$0.03Avg94.1¢Current95.1¢3.19Shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$3PnL+$0.02Avg98.5¢Current99.4¢2.94Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?
YesValue$0.52PnL$0Avg99.3¢Current100¢0.52Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?
NoValue$0.50PnL$0Avg99.5¢Current100¢0.5Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet shelly: 92.8% win rate over 83 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −26.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −997.1%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−26.8% over 11 fills); −$607 lifetime P&L, $393.5K traded, updated 2026-09-21.