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Trader profile

bogemika

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$10.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34.3%2,475 settled · past 180 days3 open · >99% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,393Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.2% / $95% interval −179.0% to +148.6%192 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.2%n=192 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34.3% · Decided 2,475 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$4
Snapshot cash PnL
−$467.3K
Concentration
66.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,886
Showing the largest 8 of 1,886
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · NoValue$3PnL+$3Avg0¢Current0.3¢1,094.59Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
MOUZ · NoValue$1PnL−$869Avg35.7¢Current0.1¢2,436.29Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
MOUZ · NoValue$0.15PnL−$60Avg19.7¢Current0.1¢304.6Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic
Michael Zheng · YesValue$0PnL−$22Avg9.7¢Current0¢226.78Shares
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
3DMAXValue$0PnL−$0.05Avg35¢Current0¢0.14Shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Lynn Vision · NoValue$0PnL−$244Avg7¢Current0¢3,456.4Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca
Roberto Bautista Agut · YesValue$0PnL−$182Avg23¢Current0¢791.3Shares
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior - Game 2 Winner
NAVI JuniorValue$0PnL−$13Avg9.8¢Current0¢133Shares
Showing 8 of 1,886 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bogemika: 34.3% win rate over 2,475 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −179.0%, n=192 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.2% over 192 fills); +$10.4K lifetime P&L, $3.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.