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Trader profile

KioskJammer

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$174.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.6%846 settled · past 90 days11 open · 10% underwater · 49 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$6.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,143Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.6% / $95% interval −111.2% to +83.9%237 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.3%n=199 settled
Politics
−17.0%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.6% · Decided 846 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete49 minutes ago
Current position value
$7.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$101
Concentration
48.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$3.5KPnL+$2.2KAvg37.7¢Current100¢3,545Shares
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$123Avg3.4¢Current3.1¢35,110.85Shares
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$775PnL+$164Avg1.3¢Current1.7¢46,958.5Shares
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$662PnL+$66Avg3.4¢Current3.8¢17,658.11Shares
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$548PnL+$203Avg2.3¢Current3.7¢15,000Shares
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$335PnL−$5Avg3.7¢Current3.7¢9,182.28Shares
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
YesValue$191PnL+$8Avg11¢Current11.5¢1,665Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies · NoValue$149PnL−$83Avg7¢Current4.5¢3,300Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet KioskJammer: 54.6% win rate over 846 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −111.2%, n=237 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.3% over 199 fills); −$174.6K lifetime P&L, $6.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.