PolyTrace
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Trader profile

X2024

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$276.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.3%95 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded524Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.8% / $95% interval −310.8% to +328.4%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+10.3%n=57 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.3% · Decided 95 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$23
Snapshot cash PnL
−$131.6K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
72
Showing the largest 8 of 72
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
NoValue$23PnL−$17Avg43¢Current24.5¢92.45Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers · NoValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg47¢Current0¢8,945.65Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$404Avg26.9¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$45Avg18¢Current0¢250Shares
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
Toronto Blue JaysValue$0PnL−$998Avg48¢Current0¢2,080Shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia PhilliesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg61.1¢Current0¢2,557.28Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg0.2¢Current0¢99,999.94Shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
France · YesValue$0PnL−$2.1KAvg55.5¢Current0¢3,824.99Shares
Showing 8 of 72 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet X2024: 45.3% win rate over 95 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −310.8%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+10.3% over 57 fills); −$276.1K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.