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Trader profile

RDLedger

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.1%367 settled · past 180 days6 open · 63% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$851K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded442Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.1% / $95% interval −222.5% to +210.3%36 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.1%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.1% · Decided 367 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$2.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.8K
Concentration
86.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
68
Showing the largest 8 of 68
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Australia A win?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$23Avg99.3¢Current98.3¢2,210Shares
West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women
West Indies Women · NoValue$98PnL+$7Avg91¢Current98.4¢100Shares
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino
Maria SakkariValue$85PnL−$0.50Avg85¢Current84.5¢100Shares
Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia
Australia · NoValue$69PnL+$8Avg61¢Current69¢100Shares
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala · NoValue$61PnL+$1Avg80¢Current81.5¢75Shares
Sakkari vs. Hibino: Match O/U 23.5
UnderValue$25PnL−$5Avg76¢Current63¢40Shares
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbert
Jack Draper · YesValue$0PnL−$0.20Avg50.1¢Current0¢0.39Shares
Croatia Open: Titouan Droguet vs Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx · NoValue$0PnL−$67Avg67¢Current0¢99.99Shares
Showing 8 of 68 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RDLedger: 59.1% win rate over 367 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −6.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −222.5%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.1% over 36 fills); −$7.7K lifetime P&L, $851K traded, updated 2026-09-24.