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Trader profile

Madsolbro

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.4%89 settled · past 180 days20 open · 54% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$434.9K325 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded133Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.4% · Decided 89 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$10.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.1K
Concentration
16.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$31Avg91.8¢Current93.5¢1,850.54Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$69Avg80¢Current85.5¢1,250Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$60Avg88.2¢Current93.5¢1,133.24Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$48Avg92¢Current96.5¢1,086.96Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL−$266Avg69.8¢Current55.5¢1,863.12Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$6Avg86¢Current86.5¢1,162.79Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$751PnL−$49Avg73¢Current68.5¢1,096.46Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$494PnL+$94Avg78.5¢Current97¢509.67Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Madsolbro: 58.4% win rate over 89 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$6.2K lifetime P&L, $434.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.