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Trader profile

SplendidAmadeus

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$116.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate67.3%398 settled · past 90 days6 open · 47% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$8.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,805Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.4% / $95% interval −103.7% to +81.0%376 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.6%n=283 settled
Finance
−12.9%n=14 settled
Crypto
−20.0%n=29 settled
Politics
−22.9%n=47 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 67.3% · Decided 398 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$25.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$41.4K
Concentration
44.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$11.2KPnL+$141Avg85.4¢Current86.5¢13,000Shares
YesValue$5.3KPnL+$464Avg88.1¢Current96.5¢5,545.88Shares
NoValue$4.7KPnL−$437Avg85.1¢Current77.9¢5,999.9Shares
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$155Avg52.4¢Current48.5¢4,000Shares
Talia Gibson · YesValue$1.7KPnL+$58Avg89.4¢Current92.5¢1,849.98Shares
NoValue$205PnL+$10Avg94.8¢Current99.6¢205.87Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$511Avg68.2¢Current750Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$7.9KAvg87.4¢Current9,050Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SplendidAmadeus: 67.3% win rate over 398 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −103.7%, n=376 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.6% over 283 fills); −$116.8K lifetime P&L, $8.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.