PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pb7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price3 open · 51% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$10.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,162Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.8% / $95% interval −2.5% to +4.0%43 settled fills · 90d window
Science
+0.7%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 20 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$54.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$982
Concentration
79.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$42.8KPnL+$15.8KAvg50¢Current79.3¢54,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$11.2KPnL−$15.8KAvg50¢Current20.8¢54,000Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$135PnL−$625Avg76¢Current13.5¢1,000Shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26?
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.3¢Current0¢1,452.26Shares
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 23?
NoValue$0PnL−$324Avg99.9¢Current0¢323.8Shares
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
Maja Chwalinska · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg18¢Current0¢55.56Shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg83¢Current0¢12.05Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 23?
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg3.2¢Current0¢49.05Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pb7: edge +0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −2.5%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (+0.7% over 42 fills); +$23.9K lifetime P&L, $10.9M traded, updated 2026-09-21.