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Trader profile

DCAAA

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$25.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.1%20,771 settled · past 90 days16 open · 51% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$28.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,505Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.7% / $95% interval −32.6% to +15.1%201 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.2%n=197 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.1% · Decided 20,771 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$4.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6K
Concentration
27.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
39
Showing the largest 8 of 39
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Houston Astros · YesValue$1.1KPnL+$12Avg47¢Current47.5¢2,340.43Shares
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$1KPnL+$494Avg51.3¢Current100¢1,014.4Shares
Sho Shimabukuro · YesValue$565PnL−$5Avg57¢Current56.5¢1,000Shares
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$538PnL+$138Avg39¢Current52.5¢1,025.64Shares
Sheng Tang · NoValue$375PnL+$150Avg60¢Current100¢375Shares
Alina Charaeva · NoValue$265PnL−$215Avg48¢Current26.5¢999.88Shares
Over · YesValue$138PnL+$22Avg49.3¢Current58.5¢235.66Shares
Natsumi Kawaguchi · YesValue$35PnL−$148Avg55¢Current10.5¢333.33Shares
Showing 8 of 39 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet DCAAA: 50.1% win rate over 20,771 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.6%, n=201 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.2% over 197 fills); +$25.8K lifetime P&L, $28.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.