PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pmtosat-

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72%107 settled · past 90 days11 open · 45% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$702.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded469Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.4% / $95% interval −148.6% to +113.8%27 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.1%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72% · Decided 107 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$39.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37.5K
Concentration
48.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$19.3KPnL+$750Avg91.2¢Current94.9¢20,383.92Shares
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$9.8KPnL+$190Avg95.9¢Current97.9¢10,011.93Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$5KPnL+$1.9KAvg50¢Current81.8¢6,084Shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.8KPnL−$233Avg30¢Current26.5¢6,666.67Shares
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$16Avg91.4¢Current92.4¢1,652.89Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$175Avg30¢Current26.5¢4,999.99Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$1.9KAvg50¢Current18.3¢6,084Shares
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
YesValue$25PnL+$3Avg13¢Current14.5¢173Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pmtosat-: 72% win rate over 107 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −17.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −148.6%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.1% over 18 fills); −$13.2K lifetime P&L, $702.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.