PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SakuraDevil

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76%420 settled · past 180 days14 open · 82% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded731Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.9% / $95% interval −85.9% to +111.7%11 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+12.9%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76% · Decided 420 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$8.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.5K
Concentration
36.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$247Avg88.4¢Current96.2¢3,201.79Shares
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$62Avg94.2¢Current96.2¢3,200Shares
YesValue$451PnL−$228Avg21.8¢Current14.5¢3,108.83Shares
NoValue$355PnL+$6Avg94¢Current95.5¢372.05Shares
NoValue$307PnL−$219Avg25¢Current14.6¢2,100Shares
NoValue$292PnL+$17Avg88¢Current93.5¢312.3Shares
NoValue$190PnL−$14Avg83.3¢Current77.5¢245.71Shares
NoValue$173PnL+$4Avg94.4¢Current96.5¢179.11Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SakuraDevil: 76% win rate over 420 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +12.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −85.9%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+12.9% over 11 fills); +$4.4K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-21.