PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Alerta

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%276 settled · past 90 days0 open · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$271.4K503 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded291Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−36.3% / $95% interval −818.5% to +745.8%30 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−17.8%n=15 settled
Sports
−36.7%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 276 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$34.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
132
Showing the largest 8 of 132
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$139Avg46¢Current0¢301.7Shares
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
Team LynxValue$0PnL−$23Avg27¢Current0¢84.75Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
Nongshim Esports Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$348Avg72.8¢Current0¢477.85Shares
Counter-Strike: WBT vs SAW (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
WBT · YesValue$0PnL−$843Avg43.5¢Current0¢1,938.9Shares
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 1WIN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
1WIN · NoValue$0PnL−$436Avg51.9¢Current0¢839.77Shares
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Two Move · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg41.7¢Current0¢719.29Shares
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
Alliance · NoValue$0PnL−$491Avg53.8¢Current0¢913.15Shares
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
FOKUSValue$0PnL−$429Avg63.9¢Current0¢671.92Shares
Showing 8 of 132 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Alerta: 51.5% win rate over 276 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −36.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −818.5%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−36.7% over 15 fills); −$7.6K lifetime P&L, $271.4K traded, updated 2026-09-24.