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Trader profile

Lastworld13

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$23.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…9 open · 100% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded364Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.7% / $95% interval −281.6% to +284.9%63 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+19.6%n=23 settled
Politics
+10.4%n=23 settled
Culture
−25.3%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$211
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10K
Concentration
71.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
YesValue$151PnL−$9.6KAvg25.7¢Current0.4¢37,872.83Shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$25PnL−$102Avg13.5¢Current2.7¢943.83Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
NoValue$15PnL−$225Avg30.3¢Current1.9¢792.43Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$13PnL−$6Avg11¢Current7.5¢172.73Shares
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$3PnL−$74Avg15.2¢Current0.5¢503.52Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$0.23Avg13¢Current11.5¢15Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$0.79PnL−$0.21Avg7.9¢Current6.3¢12.66Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$0.62PnL−$0.38Avg33¢Current20.5¢3.03Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Lastworld13: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +1.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −281.6%, n=63 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+19.6% over 23 fills); −$23.6K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.