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Trader profile

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.8MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.3%150 settled · past 90 days113 open · 52% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$133.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded130Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−30.1% / $95% interval −293.2% to +233.0%412 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+19.6%n=27 settled
Finance
+1.0%n=23 settled
Crypto
+0.5%n=12 settled
Politics
−37.6%n=350 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.3% · Decided 150 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$1.4M
Snapshot cash PnL
−$125.6K
Concentration
33.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
148
Showing the largest 8 of 148
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$451.2KPnL+$9.4KAvg86.7¢Current88.5¢509,808.62Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$202.2KPnL+$16.2KAvg91.3¢Current99.3¢203,639.4Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$139.7KPnL+$35.5KAvg59.3¢Current79.5¢175,696.61Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$104.3KPnL+$5.2KAvg94.2¢Current99.2¢105,215.74Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$64KPnL+$245Avg95.5¢Current95.9¢66,758.72Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$45.8KPnL+$207Avg91.6¢Current92¢49,750.95Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$40.3KPnL+$515Avg92.3¢Current93.5¢43,109.07Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
NoValue$36.6KPnL+$1.3KAvg95.1¢Current98.7¢37,088.76Shares
Showing 8 of 148 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA: 81.3% win rate over 150 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −30.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −293.2%, n=412 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+19.6% over 27 fills); +$1.8M lifetime P&L, $133.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.