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Trader profile

hello6452323

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 82% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$193.5K672 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded151Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−39.2% / $95% interval −130.1% to +51.7%13 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−36.9%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$214
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22.9K
Concentration
99.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
92
Showing the largest 8 of 92
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Seattle Mariners · YesValue$214PnL+$39Avg27¢Current33¢648.87Shares
Chicago Cubs · NoValue$0.35PnL−$179Avg26¢Current0.1¢690Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$533Avg26¢Current0¢2,049.36Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$336Avg28.3¢Current0¢1,188.1Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$337Avg51¢Current0¢660.48Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg0.6¢Current0¢2,071.65Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$625Avg50¢Current0¢1,249.53Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$166Avg32¢Current0¢519.07Shares
Showing 8 of 92 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hello6452323: edge −39.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −130.1%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−36.9% over 12 fills); −$7.2K lifetime P&L, $193.5K traded, updated 2026-09-24.