PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

anykey

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$64.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 5 settled so far2 open · 71% underwater · 14 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$15.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded11Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−72.7% / $95% interval −394.8% to +249.4%40 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−72.7%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete14 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$63.5K
Concentration
54.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$833PnL−$158Avg0.3¢Current0.3¢333,332.93Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$694PnL+$63Avg0.5¢Current0.5¢126,141.76Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$6.5KAvg3.7¢Current0¢174,667.52Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$4.3KAvg0.3¢Current0¢1,392,442.53Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg12¢Current0¢24,509Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg0.1¢Current0¢2,000,000Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg5.9¢Current0¢48,467.67Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$32.4KAvg0.4¢Current0¢7,283,891.37Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet anykey: edge −72.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −394.8%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−72.7% over 40 fills); −$64.8K lifetime P&L, $15.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.