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Trader profile

Alpiiis163

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.8%89 settled · past 180 days0 open · 15 days ago
Lifetime volume$275.8K160 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded88Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.2% / $95% interval −261.3% to +252.9%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.2%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.8% · Decided 89 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$20.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
31
Showing the largest 8 of 31
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$442Avg52.5¢Current0¢841.6Shares
Argentina · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg43¢Current0¢3,489.93Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$492Avg34¢Current0¢1,447.79Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$987Avg34¢Current0¢2,902.47Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg67¢Current0¢1,492.54Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$970Avg43.6¢Current0¢2,223.87Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$340Avg46¢Current0¢739.24Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$567Avg42¢Current0¢1,350.38Shares
Showing 8 of 31 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Alpiiis163: 52.8% win rate over 89 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −261.3%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.2% over 23 fills); −$1.1K lifetime P&L, $275.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.