Trader profile

madbears

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-24

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$535Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 6 days ago

Lifetime volume$51.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded143Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded22 hours ago

Current position value: $0
Snapshot cash PnL: −$1.6K
Concentration: —
Positions: 8

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17?

YesValue$0PnL−$589Avg96.5¢Current0¢610.2Shares

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?

YesValue$0PnL−$257Avg82.4¢Current0¢311.58Shares

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 17?

NoValue$0PnL−$51Avg94.2¢Current0¢54.4Shares

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15?

YesValue$0PnL−$88Avg90.6¢Current0¢97Shares

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?

NoValue$0PnL−$113Avg71.6¢Current0¢158.01Shares

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 15?

NoValue$0PnL−$195Avg96.7¢Current0¢201.81Shares

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 4?

YesValue$0PnL−$267Avg55.3¢Current0¢483.31Shares

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 12?

YesValue$0PnL−$42Avg85.6¢Current0¢49.6Shares

All 8 positions shown

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

10 days ago

SELLYES

24°C · 99.9¢

Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?Open market →

no result

$1.3K

About this wallet

Wallet madbears: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$535 lifetime P&L, $51.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.