PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Bikesarethebest

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$427.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32.3%2,940 settled · past 90 days970 open · 46% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$22.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded493Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.7% / $95% interval −24.3% to +31.7%44 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+2.1%n=16 settled
Sports
−0.1%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32.3% · Decided 2,940 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$127K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.7K
Concentration
6.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,441
Showing the largest 8 of 1,441
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$4.1KAvg42¢Current88.5¢8,785Shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$3.2KPnL−$28Avg95¢Current94.2¢3,397.69Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$2.8KPnL+$33Avg94.3¢Current95.5¢2,985.31Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$36Avg90.5¢Current91.8¢2,930.18Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$13Avg97.4¢Current97.9¢2,577.2Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$184Avg86.9¢Current80.3¢2,774.16Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$2KPnL+$376Avg72¢Current88.5¢2,277.53Shares
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$6Avg93.5¢Current93.3¢2,062.78Shares
Showing 8 of 1,441 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bikesarethebest: 32.3% win rate over 2,940 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.3%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+2.1% over 16 fills); +$427.1K lifetime P&L, $22.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.