Last loaded14 hours ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$3.9M
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 115 Showing the largest 8 of 115
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 115 positions by current value
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Trader profile
plonker2026
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$1.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42%238 settled · past 90 days0 open · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded166Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−15.9% / $95% interval −22.0% to −9.8%1,300 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −8.5%n=1,095 settled
- Unmapped
- −52.0%n=205 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 16 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 42% · Decided 238 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$1.2KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$4.9K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$7.1K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$2.2KOpen
✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$3.2KAdd
About this wallet
Wallet plonker2026: 42% win rate over 238 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −22.0%, n=1,300 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.5% over 1,095 fills); −$1.1M lifetime P&L, $17.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.