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Trader profile

AndreaPirlo

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.5%3,783 settled · past 180 days2 open · 50% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,243Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.9% / $95% interval −427.6% to +381.8%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+10.2%n=10 settled
Science
−27.5%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.5% · Decided 3,783 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$23.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$75K
Concentration
91.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
2,272
Showing the largest 8 of 2,272
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$21.5KPnL+$9.7KAvg50¢Current91.3¢23,531.11Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.1KPnL−$9.7KAvg50¢Current8.8¢23,531.11Shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on July 23?
YesValue$0PnL−$39Avg9.1¢Current0¢430.46Shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?
NoValue$0PnL−$342Avg82¢Current0¢417.01Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?
YesValue$0PnL−$24Avg16.7¢Current0¢142Shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?
NoValue$0PnL−$348Avg90.3¢Current0¢385.51Shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 24?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg9.1¢Current0¢164.82Shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 22?
YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg3.5¢Current0¢305.28Shares
Showing 8 of 2,272 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AndreaPirlo: 33.5% win rate over 3,783 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −427.6%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+10.2% over 10 fills); +$7.4K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.