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Trader profile

mlbman

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$28.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.7%550 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,044Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.6% / $95% interval −39.8% to +22.6%198 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.6%n=198 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.7% · Decided 550 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$124
Snapshot cash PnL
−$491K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
468
Showing the largest 8 of 468
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
YesValue$124PnL+$5Avg7.4¢Current7.7¢1,615.68Shares
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg56¢Current0¢2,119.02Shares
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland GuardiansValue$0PnL−$1KAvg53¢Current0¢1,926.98Shares
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg54¢Current0¢2,094.85Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg51¢Current0¢3,529.41Shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers · NoValue$0PnL−$3.2KAvg58¢Current0¢5,462.07Shares
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$414Avg52¢Current0¢796.48Shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$412Avg48¢Current0¢858.71Shares
Showing 8 of 468 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mlbman: 48.7% win rate over 550 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −39.8%, n=198 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.6% over 198 fills); +$28.1K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.