PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

kabuone

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate95.4%86 settled · past 90 days6 open · 0% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$398.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded143Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−28.3% / $95% interval −884.3% to +827.8%20 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−28.3%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 95.4% · Decided 86 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$22
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4
Concentration
27.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
NoValue$6PnL+$0.21Avg95.1¢Current98.4¢6.31Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$4PnL$0Avg97.3¢Current97.3¢4.11Shares
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$3PnL+$0.01Avg96.3¢Current96.6¢3.35Shares
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
NoValue$3PnL+$0.22Avg88¢Current94.5¢3.41Shares
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$3PnL+$0.15Avg88¢Current92.5¢3.41Shares
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$0.62PnL+$0.08Avg87¢Current100¢0.62Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1?
YesValue$0.53PnL+$0.02Avg97.1¢Current100¢0.53Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 31?
YesValue$0.50PnL+$0.01Avg97.9¢Current100¢0.5Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kabuone: 95.4% win rate over 86 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −28.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −884.3%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−28.3% over 20 fills); −$2.5K lifetime P&L, $398.6K traded, updated 2026-09-23.