PolyTrace
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Trader profile

MarvelFan94

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70.3%219 settled · past 180 days39 open · 98% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$790.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded523Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.9% / $95% interval −131.9% to +110.2%30 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−6.5%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.3% · Decided 219 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$15.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.3K
Concentration
46.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
39
Showing the largest 8 of 39
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$7.1KPnL−$1.7KAvg72.6¢Current58.4¢12,139.97Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$4KAvg55.1¢Current21.5¢11,828.81Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$2KPnL−$2.4KAvg69¢Current31.5¢6,392.2Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$865PnL+$33Avg83.2¢Current86.5¢1,000Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
YesValue$816PnL−$406Avg50.9¢Current34¢2,399.99Shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
NoValue$599PnL−$10Avg89¢Current87.5¢684.75Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$324PnL−$76Avg5¢Current4.1¢8,000Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$212PnL+$21Avg76.7¢Current85¢250Shares
Showing 8 of 39 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MarvelFan94: 70.3% win rate over 219 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −131.9%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−6.5% over 23 fills); −$1.5K lifetime P&L, $790.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.