PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x0954…1e1b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 14 settled so far0 open · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.5M382 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded15Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−42.7% / $95% interval −118.2% to +32.8%105 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−42.7%n=105 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.6M
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers · NoValue$0PnL−$210KAvg42.2¢Current0¢497,961.48Shares
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Athletics · YesValue$0PnL−$144.8KAvg41¢Current0¢353,151.32Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$0PnL−$197.2KAvg62¢Current0¢318,134.62Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$0PnL−$145.8KAvg40¢Current0¢364,485.13Shares
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Texas Rangers · YesValue$0PnL−$98.3KAvg45¢Current0¢218,431.54Shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
100 Thieves · NoValue$0PnL−$40KAvg24.6¢Current0¢162,496.76Shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
YesValue$0PnL−$245.8KAvg60¢Current0¢409,659.62Shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Spirit · YesValue$0PnL−$216.8KAvg79¢Current0¢274,394.16Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x0954184654a6a3720f5dde4103a42af4dd0e1e1b: edge −42.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −118.2%, n=105 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−42.7% over 105 fills); −$1.3M lifetime P&L, $4.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.