PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Springlock-Failure

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$17.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.8%23 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$551.7K816 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded29Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.1% / $95% interval −13.8% to +24.0%84 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.1%n=84 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.8% · Decided 23 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$8.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$110.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
Luminosity · YesValue$8.1KPnL−$6.4KAvg58¢Current32.5¢25,000Shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
M80 · NoValue$0PnL−$14.1KAvg54.5¢Current0¢25,858.13Shares
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Infinite · YesValue$0PnL−$8.7KAvg34.7¢Current0¢25,000Shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$19KAvg42.2¢Current0¢45,000.03Shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
EYEBALLERS · NoValue$0PnL−$8KAvg40¢Current0¢19,999.95Shares
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
magic · YesValue$0PnL−$943Avg29¢Current0¢3,251.96Shares
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs
Imperial · YesValue$0PnL−$13.8KAvg69¢Current0¢19,999.99Shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
M80 · NoValue$0PnL−$6KAvg40¢Current0¢15,000Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Springlock-Failure: 47.8% win rate over 23 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +5.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.8%, n=84 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.1% over 84 fills); +$17.7K lifetime P&L, $551.7K traded, updated 2026-09-23.