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Trader profile

tsukirein

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$40.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 11 settled so far0 open · 27 days ago
Lifetime volume$364.9K119 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded20Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−49.0% / $95% interval −255.8% to +157.7%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−49.0%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 14 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$57.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$80Avg24¢Current0¢333.76Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg4¢Current0¢125Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg43¢Current0¢23.26Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg15.2¢Current0¢328.95Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$6.2KAvg3.8¢Current0¢165,121.3Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg14.9¢Current0¢66.96Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50.9KAvg52.3¢Current0¢97,298Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tsukirein: edge −49.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −255.8%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−49.0% over 20 fills); −$40.1K lifetime P&L, $364.9K traded, updated 2026-09-20.