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Trader profile

gerhardmb

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$74Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate10%20 settled · past 180 days14 open · 56% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$103.8K102 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded50Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 10% · Decided 20 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$94
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9
Concentration
16.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$15PnL+$8Avg1.2¢Current2.5¢625Shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$12PnL+$3Avg2.3¢Current3.1¢391.3Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$8PnL+$2Avg8.9¢Current11.6¢72.25Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$7PnL+$0.80Avg1.6¢Current1.8¢401.88Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
YesValue$7PnL−$3Avg11¢Current7.5¢90.91Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$6PnL+$1Avg4.9¢Current5.9¢102.04Shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
YesValue$6PnL−$2Avg4.8¢Current3.8¢156.25Shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$6PnL−$3Avg2¢Current1.3¢439.95Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gerhardmb: 10% win rate over 20 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$74 lifetime P&L, $103.8K traded, updated 2026-09-21.