PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x0828…a1a6

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.1%447 settled · past 180 days3 open · 99% underwater · 6 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded585Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.7% / $95% interval −113.8% to +119.2%173 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+2.7%n=173 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.1% · Decided 447 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete6 minutes ago
Current position value
$8.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$70.5K
Concentration
58.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell
Yexin Ma · YesValue$5.1KPnL−$10.9KAvg33.2¢Current10.5¢48,123.19Shares
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel
Dane Sweeny · YesValue$3.2KPnL+$110Avg42¢Current43.5¢7,312.06Shares
Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina · NoValue$457PnL+$5Avg44¢Current44.5¢1,027.98Shares
Jaguars vs. Broncos
Jaguars · YesValue$0PnL−$10.7KAvg52.9¢Current0¢20,172.08Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$280Avg50¢Current0¢560.09Shares
San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf
J.J. Wolf · NoValue$0PnL−$9.4KAvg69.3¢Current0¢13,528.78Shares
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova
Matthew Dellavedova · NoValue$0PnL−$5.9KAvg48.2¢Current0¢12,192.59Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$12Avg26.1¢Current0¢44.76Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x0828e2ab9f76708970ad6fa20f457f8cc6d0a1a6: 52.1% win rate over 447 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +2.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −113.8%, n=173 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.7% over 173 fills); +$5K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.