PolyTrace
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Trader profile

deltasniper

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$56KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…78 open · 74% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded380Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.2% / $95% interval −68.3% to +10.0%161 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−14.6%n=28 settled
Finance
−26.6%n=111 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$69.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.3K
Concentration
5.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
88
Showing the largest 8 of 88
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$610Avg65.3¢Current77.5¢5,000Shares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NoValue$3.8KPnL−$245Avg81.4¢Current76.5¢5,000Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$140Avg83¢Current86.5¢3,999.97Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.8KPnL−$1.2KAvg48.7¢Current34.5¢8,111.93Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$438Avg29.7¢Current35.5¢7,499.97Shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$84Avg84.6¢Current87.5¢2,908.56Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$327Avg65¢Current76.5¢2,850.13Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$45Avg68¢Current69.5¢2,999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 88 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet deltasniper: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −29.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −68.3%, n=161 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−14.6% over 28 fills); −$56K lifetime P&L, $10.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.