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Trader profile

StefLux

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$136Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate16%25 settled · past 180 days7 open · 71% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$15K57 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded47Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 16% · Decided 25 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$86
Snapshot cash PnL
−$274
Concentration
21.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
31
Showing the largest 8 of 31
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
YesValue$18PnL−$37Avg9.5¢Current3.2¢581.46Shares
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$17PnL+$12Avg1.5¢Current5.1¢333.33Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$16PnL−$4Avg11.4¢Current8.9¢175.44Shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$13PnL+$8Avg2.1¢Current5.6¢238.1Shares
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
YesValue$10PnL+$0.34Avg2.8¢Current2.9¢362.96Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$7PnL−$3Avg21.5¢Current15.8¢46.51Shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$5PnL−$5Avg3.3¢Current1.6¢303.03Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg24¢Current0¢41.67Shares
Showing 8 of 31 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet StefLux: 16% win rate over 25 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$136 lifetime P&L, $15K traded, updated 2026-09-21.