Last loaded9 hours ago
- Current position value
- $44
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$980
- Concentration
- 100% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 4 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
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Trader profile
lugosix
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$25.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.4%26 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded107Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−19.1% / $95% interval −236.0% to +197.8%60 settled fills · 90d window
- Crypto
- −19.1%n=60 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 12 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 65.4% · Decided 26 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.6K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.6K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.8K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.3K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$2.3KAbout this wallet
Wallet lugosix: 65.4% win rate over 26 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −19.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −236.0%, n=60 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−19.1% over 60 fills); −$25.5K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.