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Trader profile

4851CK

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40%35 settled · past 180 days5 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$141.8K145 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded56Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 40% · Decided 35 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$895
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.3K
Concentration
31.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$279PnL−$221Avg34.9¢Current19.5¢1,432.48Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$235PnL−$165Avg23¢Current13.5¢1,739.13Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$235PnL−$265Avg19.2¢Current9¢2,605.68Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$100PnL−$127Avg14.8¢Current6.5¢1,532.14Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$47PnL−$38Avg8¢Current4.4¢1,066.75Shares
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg7¢Current0¢2,142.86Shares
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg2.5¢Current0¢1,962.69Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
NoValue$0PnL−$150Avg22.2¢Current0¢675.1Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 4851CK: 40% win rate over 35 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$1K lifetime P&L, $141.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.