PolyTrace
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Trader profile

notmarketmaker

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.1%14,999 settled · past 180 days7 open · 54% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,663Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.1% · Decided 14,999 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$638
Snapshot cash PnL
−$33.5K
Concentration
71.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,918
Showing the largest 8 of 1,918
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$457PnL+$70Avg61.5¢Current72.5¢630.75Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NoValue$115PnL+$7Avg87¢Current92.5¢124.06Shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$18PnL−$76Avg1.8¢Current0.4¢5,117.32Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$18PnL−$4Avg22.8¢Current18.6¢95.14Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NoValue$12PnL−$7Avg42.1¢Current27.5¢44.99Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NoValue$10PnL+$1Avg68.9¢Current81.4¢11.85Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$9PnL−$5Avg11.5¢Current7.5¢114.23Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg24¢Current0¢8.63Shares
Showing 8 of 1,918 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet notmarketmaker: 51.1% win rate over 14,999 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$14.9K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-20.