PolyTrace
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Trader profile

eastpak

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$16.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.4%189 settled · past 180 days14 open · 17% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded278Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.7% / $95% interval −269.3% to +223.9%129 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−20.1%n=104 settled
Finance
−22.0%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.4% · Decided 189 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$53.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5.1K
Concentration
23.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$1.3KAvg89¢Current99.5¢12,788.29Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$10.1KPnL+$1.8KAvg79.2¢Current96.7¢10,428.93Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
NoValue$10KPnL+$1.6KAvg82.6¢Current98.2¢10,195Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
NoValue$7KPnL+$716Avg89.1¢Current99.3¢7,055.24Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$669Avg78.3¢Current91.5¢5,056.82Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$153Avg86.6¢Current91.5¢3,094.94Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
NoValue$2.1KPnL−$224Avg79¢Current71.5¢2,990.95Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$10Avg93¢Current92.5¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet eastpak: 62.4% win rate over 189 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −269.3%, n=129 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−20.1% over 104 fills); −$16.3K lifetime P&L, $5.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.