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Trader profile

Tnothcote

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 18 settled so far24 open · 17% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$210.2K128 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded48Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1K
Concentration
79.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$368Avg60.2¢Current78.5¢2,017.68Shares
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?
YesValue$264PnL−$56Avg32.1¢Current26.5¢995.94Shares
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
YesValue$91PnL−$21Avg8¢Current6.5¢1,398.61Shares
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$23PnL−$0.02Avg3.8¢Current3.8¢612.78Shares
Will USC Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?
YesValue$6PnL+$0.41Avg9.5¢Current10.2¢63.2Shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$5PnL−$0.09Avg2.9¢Current2.9¢172.41Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$2PnL+$0.34Avg52.5¢Current61.5¢3.81Shares
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$2PnL+$0.50Avg21¢Current31.5¢4.76Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Tnothcote: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$1.2K lifetime P&L, $210.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.