PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x0615…836f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.1%187 settled · past 180 days9 open · 88% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$52.9K319 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded202Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.1% · Decided 187 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$1.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.7K
Concentration
45.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
92
Showing the largest 8 of 92
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$679PnL−$151Avg52¢Current42.5¢1,597.5Shares
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
NoValue$294PnL−$6Avg81¢Current79.5¢370.37Shares
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$210PnL+$10Avg49¢Current51.5¢408Shares
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
NoValue$127PnL+$27Avg7.8¢Current9.9¢1,286.33Shares
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
NoValue$93PnL−$107Avg59¢Current27.5¢338.98Shares
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
YesValue$58PnL+$8Avg15.5¢Current18¢321.8Shares
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
NoValue$16PnL−$23Avg53.3¢Current22¢73.16Shares
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
YesValue$6PnL−$44Avg21.4¢Current2.5¢233.24Shares
Showing 8 of 92 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x0615de742f321f7aa243c15f9427680bd3bd836f: 48.1% win rate over 187 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$1.3K lifetime P&L, $52.9K traded, updated 2026-09-24.