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Trader profile

gugul

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34%103 settled · past 90 days8 open · 99% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M320 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded152Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+42.9% / $95% interval −297.6% to +383.4%38 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−26.4%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34% · Decided 103 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$51.2K
Concentration
35.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
80
Showing the largest 8 of 80
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$496PnL−$4Avg66¢Current65.5¢757.58Shares
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$493PnL−$7Avg3.8¢Current3.8¢13,157.89Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$338PnL−$16Avg20.9¢Current20¢1,690.75Shares
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$20PnL+$0.18Avg4.5¢Current4.5¢446.85Shares
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$10PnL−$0.13Avg3.7¢Current3.7¢270.27Shares
Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
YesValue$10PnL−$0.20Avg2.5¢Current2.5¢400Shares
Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
YesValue$10PnL−$0.28Avg3¢Current2.9¢335.08Shares
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$5PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢9,531.13Shares
Showing 8 of 80 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gugul: 34% win rate over 103 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +42.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −297.6%, n=38 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−26.4% over 32 fills); −$7.2K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.