PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SeniorLaghetto

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$303.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.3%138 settled · past 90 days33 open · 31% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$42.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded120Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.2% / $95% interval −62.9% to +50.6%55 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−6.2%n=55 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.3% · Decided 138 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$46.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$375
Concentration
25.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
YesValue$12.1KPnL−$326Avg73.9¢Current72¢16,737.12Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YesValue$6.6KPnL+$6Avg45.5¢Current45.5¢14,594.03Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$981Avg24.3¢Current33.5¢10,684.31Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
NoValue$3.4KPnL+$1KAvg30.8¢Current44.5¢7,637.97Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
NoValue$3.3KPnL−$256Avg67.9¢Current63¢5,223.79Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$137Avg33.4¢Current35.5¢6,615.81Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
NoValue$2.1KPnL−$228Avg80.8¢Current73¢2,891.65Shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NoValue$2KPnL+$322Avg70.6¢Current84.1¢2,388.49Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SeniorLaghetto: 57.3% win rate over 138 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −62.9%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−6.2% over 55 fills); +$303.5K lifetime P&L, $42.5M traded, updated 2026-09-20.