PolyTrace
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Trader profile

iForgor

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$24.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…16 open · 55% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$10M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded544Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.2% / $95% interval −147.4% to +135.0%18 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−24.2%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$13.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$394
Concentration
22.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.9KPnL−$46Avg59.8¢Current58.9¢5,000Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$140Avg54¢Current57.5¢4,000Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$287Avg51.4¢Current59.5¢3,557.69Shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$209Avg40.8¢Current46.1¢4,001.34Shares
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$470Avg26.2¢Current36.5¢4,579.92Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$987PnL+$249Avg65.4¢Current87.5¢1,127.81Shares
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NoValue$415PnL+$345Avg14¢Current83¢500Shares
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$241PnL+$64Avg50.4¢Current68.5¢351.95Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet iForgor: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −6.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −147.4%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−24.2% over 10 fills); +$24.8K lifetime P&L, $10M traded, updated 2026-09-23.