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Trader profile

rchiang

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$22.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.6%305 settled · past 180 days2 open · 86% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded563Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.3% / $95% interval −65.7% to +72.3%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.3%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.6% · Decided 305 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$2.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.9K
Concentration
50.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$397Avg17¢Current12.5¢8,823.53Shares
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$63AvgCurrent8.5¢12,500Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg16¢Current312.5Shares
Rams · YesValue$0PnL−$700Avg51¢Current1,372.55Shares
Rams · NoValue$0PnL−$360Avg65¢Current553.85Shares
Seahawks · YesValue$0PnL−$670Avg47¢Current1,425.53Shares
Ben Shelton · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg42¢Current1,190.48Shares
Shelton · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg50¢Current600Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rchiang: 43.6% win rate over 305 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −65.7%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.3% over 25 fills); −$22.9K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.