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Trader profile

0x0429…38bd

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.3%98 settled · past 180 days0 open · 16 days ago
Lifetime volume$197.1K187 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded94Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.2% / $95% interval −208.2% to +191.7%23 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−8.2%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.3% · Decided 98 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.1K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$8Avg22¢Current36.36Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$170Avg74.1¢Current229.3Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$960Avg29.8¢Current3,221.23Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$240Avg63.3¢Current379.22Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$85Avg63¢Current134.92Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$468Avg56.6¢Current827.44Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$23Avg50¢Current46Shares
DownValue$0PnL−$1KAvg50.8¢Current1,967.86Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x04292863494ba47e271399e0c4c6be3da6c938bd: 66.3% win rate over 98 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −208.2%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−8.2% over 23 fills); −$6K lifetime P&L, $197.1K traded, updated 2026-09-21.