PolyTrace
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Trader profile

shaw

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$51.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.7%4,650 settled · past 180 days6 open · 9% underwater · just now
Lifetime volume$11.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,118Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.1% / $95% interval −9.0% to +4.7%549 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.1%n=549 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.7% · Decided 4,650 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete23 seconds ago
Current position value
$8.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$62.6K
Concentration
58.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chengdu Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz · NoValue$5KPnL+$898Avg82¢Current100¢5,000Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers · YesValue$2.9KPnL−$95Avg48¢Current46.5¢6,300Shares
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino
Maria Sakkari · YesValue$254PnL+$1Avg85¢Current85.5¢297.2Shares
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
New York Mets · YesValue$228PnL+$3Avg45¢Current45.5¢500Shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals · NoValue$64PnL+$0.69Avg46¢Current46.5¢137.23Shares
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$13PnL+$0.16Avg39¢Current39.5¢31.86Shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg46¢Current0¢6,500Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$0PnL−$799Avg47¢Current0¢1,700Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet shaw: 52.7% win rate over 4,650 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −2.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.0%, n=549 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.1% over 549 fills); −$51.8K lifetime P&L, $11.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.