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Trader profile

8489kjr34

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.1%45 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$445.3K708 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded121Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.0% / $95% interval −1.3% to +43.4%89 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+21.0%n=89 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.1% · Decided 45 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$99.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
67
Showing the largest 8 of 67
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic
Dino Prizmic · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg36¢Current0¢2,999.99Shares
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · NoValue$0PnL−$225Avg15¢Current0¢1,500Shares
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants · YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg43¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg36¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg50¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals · YesValue$0PnL−$615Avg41¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Ruud vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$720Avg48¢Current0¢1,499.85Shares
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies · YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg39¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Showing 8 of 67 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 8489kjr34: 31.1% win rate over 45 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +21.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −1.3%, n=89 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+21.0% over 89 fills); −$9.9K lifetime P&L, $445.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.