PolyTrace
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Trader profile

varch01

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$42.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.7%962 settled · past 90 days338 open · 57% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,479Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.7% · Decided 962 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$74.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
8.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
338
Showing the largest 8 of 338
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$6.6KPnL+$1.2KAvg54¢Current66¢10,000Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$3.5KPnL−$1.1KAvg45¢Current34.5¢9,999.99Shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
Nothing · YesValue$2.9KPnL+$64Avg95.1¢Current97.2¢3,000.47Shares
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$90Avg82¢Current77.5¢2,000Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$57Avg49.3¢Current51.2¢3,000.36Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$556Avg37.7¢Current65.5¢1,999.74Shares
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$276Avg69.5¢Current92.5¢1,199.77Shares
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$1Avg94.2¢Current94.3¢1,106.08Shares
Showing 8 of 338 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet varch01: 69.7% win rate over 962 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$42.3K lifetime P&L, $4.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.