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Trader profile

GoalLineGhost

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.5%72,258 settled · past 90 days60 open · 64% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$409M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,064Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.5% / $95% interval −10.6% to +1.6%15,506 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+1.5%n=654 settled
Sports
−4.8%n=14,852 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.5% · Decided 72,258 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded4 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$92.2K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.2M
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
21.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
OFIValue$19.6KPnL−$4.2KAvg60.6¢Current50¢39,139.53Shares
OFIValue$13.7KPnL−$1.4KAvg55.3¢Current50¢27,432.59Shares
AEKValue$7KPnL−$5.9KAvg92.5¢Current50¢13,987.96Shares
AEKValue$6.4KPnL−$5.4KAvg92.5¢Current50¢12,749.06Shares
UnderValue$5.6KPnL−$2.7KAvg73.9¢Current50¢11,231.14Shares
Over · YesValue$2.6KPnL−$59Avg93.6¢Current91.5¢2,865.12Shares
Antigua and Barbuda · NoValue$2.5KPnL+$96Avg92.4¢Current96.1¢2,605.63Shares
Antigua and Barbuda · NoValue$2.5KPnL+$245Avg78.4¢Current87¢2,856.84Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet GoalLineGhost: 49.5% win rate over 72,258 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.6%, n=15,506 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.8% over 14,852 fills); −$2.3M lifetime P&L, $409M traded, updated 2026-09-24.