PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

AvocadosFromMexico

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$663.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.4%3,150 settled · past 90 days121 open · 34% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$15.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,536Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.6% / $95% interval −215.5% to +210.3%174 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.6%n=174 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.4% · Decided 3,150 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$6.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1K
Concentration
65.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
125
Showing the largest 8 of 125
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Maple Leafs · YesValue$4KPnL+$2KAvg49.8¢Current99.5¢4,029.23Shares
UnderValue$312PnL−$297Avg83¢Current42.5¢734.11Shares
YesValue$173PnL−$101Avg61¢Current38.5¢449Shares
NoValue$161PnL+$77Avg52.2¢Current100¢160.9Shares
Connecticut Sun · NoValue$124PnL+$20Avg49.1¢Current58.5¢212.24Shares
YesValue$90PnL−$9Avg22.6¢Current20.5¢437Shares
Weber StateValue$75PnL−$38Avg75¢Current50¢150Shares
SenatorsValue$72PnL+$0.28Avg49.3¢Current49.5¢144.86Shares
Showing 8 of 125 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AvocadosFromMexico: 68.4% win rate over 3,150 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −215.5%, n=174 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.6% over 174 fills); +$663.8K lifetime P&L, $15.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.