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Trader profile

purplegatto

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.6%11,133 settled · past 90 days362 open · 41% underwater · 21 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$61.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,315Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.2% / $95% interval −25.3% to +0.8%2,741 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+25.6%n=32 settled
Sports
−11.9%n=2,462 settled
Finance
−19.9%n=238 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.6% · Decided 11,133 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete21 minutes ago
Current position value
$408.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.1M
Concentration
11.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
4,859
Showing the largest 8 of 4,859
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$45.9KPnL+$6.6KAvg55.3¢Current64.5¢71,120.52Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$34.6KPnL+$3.8KAvg58.3¢Current65.5¢52,803Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
YesValue$23.5KPnL+$271Avg55.8¢Current56.5¢41,552.7Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$14.5KPnL+$2KAvg76.3¢Current88.5¢16,416Shares
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
NoValue$14.1KPnL+$207Avg98.1¢Current99.6¢14,191Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$13.8KPnL+$3.3KAvg47.5¢Current62.5¢22,101Shares
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$12.8KPnL+$184Avg79.3¢Current80.5¢15,945Shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Portugal · YesValue$11.7KPnL+$352Avg58.7¢Current60.5¢19,352Shares
Showing 8 of 4,859 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet purplegatto: 50.6% win rate over 11,133 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.3%, n=2,741 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.9% over 2,462 fills); −$2.1M lifetime P&L, $61.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.