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Trader profile

forsenxd

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$181.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.9%1,081 settled · past 90 days26 open · 40% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,519Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.5% / $95% interval −25.0% to +14.1%93 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.5%n=93 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.9% · Decided 1,081 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$45.9K
Concentration
14.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
258
Showing the largest 8 of 258
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
avice Team · YesValue$438PnL+$75Avg64.2¢Current77.5¢564.58Shares
Dawn Bulls · YesValue$420PnL+$128Avg50.8¢Current73¢575.55Shares
Yellow Submarine · NoValue$385PnL+$214Avg22.9¢Current51.5¢748.36Shares
Yellow Submarine · NoValue$295PnL+$154Avg47.5¢Current99.5¢296.09Shares
Under · NoValue$288PnL−$36Avg56.9¢Current50.5¢569.91Shares
Dawn Bulls · YesValue$268PnL−$8Avg51¢Current49.5¢540.78Shares
Dawn Bulls · YesValue$268PnL−$8Avg51¢Current49.5¢540.78Shares
Dawn Bulls · YesValue$261PnL−$8Avg51¢Current49.5¢527.55Shares
Showing 8 of 258 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet forsenxd: 52.9% win rate over 1,081 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.0%, n=93 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.5% over 93 fills); −$181.1K lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.