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Trader profile

Juan12345678

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$26.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate39.3%186 settled · past 90 days2 open · 0% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded829Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−54.3% / $95% interval −199.6% to +90.9%55 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−54.3%n=55 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 39.3% · Decided 186 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$21
Snapshot cash PnL
−$128.7K
Concentration
61.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
390
Showing the largest 8 of 390
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YesValue$13PnL+$0.28Avg4¢Current4.1¢322Shares
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$8PnL+$0.32Avg85¢Current88.5¢9.25Shares
Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-20?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg20¢Current0¢100Shares
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Middlesex
Leicestershire · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg63¢Current0¢15.87Shares
Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Arthur Weber vs Hayato Matsuoka
Arthur Weber · YesValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg14.2¢Current0¢27,333Shares
Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia
Zimbabwe · YesValue$0PnL−$80Avg15.3¢Current0¢526.31Shares
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu
Hanlei Lu · NoValue$0PnL−$52Avg11.1¢Current0¢470.58Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$5Avg40¢Current0¢12Shares
Showing 8 of 390 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Juan12345678: 39.3% win rate over 186 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −54.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −199.6%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−54.3% over 55 fills); −$26.1K lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.